Bosnia and Herzegovina (3-1) Iran

A Slim Chance Iran Could Advance (UPDATE: Beaten by Bosnia)


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Could Iran pull off the seemingly impossible?

UPDATE: Bosnia and Herzegovina won their match 3-1, knocking Iran out in group play. Argentina and Nigeria advanced in Group E.

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Although Bosnia and Herzegovina has already been eliminated, today’s match could have major implications for Iran, who has a very slim chance of advancing. First, Iran would have to beat Bosnia. Then, Argentina would have to beat Nigeria. Things get interesting if both of these scenarios play out – as sports statistics website FiveThirtyEight.com notes:

Say that Iran beats Bosnia 2-1 while Nigeria loses to Argentina by the same 2-1 scoreline. Both teams will have one win, one draw and one loss. Both will have two goals scored and two goals allowed. FIFA’s next tiebreaker is head-to-head results, but Nigeria and Iran drew their match. That means FIFA would be out of tiebreakers and forced to draw lots to determine who advances.

…[but] if Iran won 2-0 and Nigeria lost 1-0, Iran would have the better goal differential and would advance. If Iran won 1-0 and Nigeria lost 2-1, the teams would be tied on goal differential but Nigeria would advance on the basis of goals scored. The chance that FIFA will have to draw lots is only 0.6 percent, according to our match predictor.

Essentially, for Iran, this means one thing: win today, and win big.

See if they can pull off this improbable feat today at 12 PM ET (4 PM UTC).

For play-by-play, minute-by-minute coverage of every ball touch, throw-in, direct kick, indirect kick, yellow card, red card, corner kick, goal kick and every other possible football feat in every World Cup match, tap into VOA’s multilingual, multinational analysis.

Click here to follow the action live, or follow along on Facebook, or on Twitter with #WorldCupVOA.

And for even more exclusive VOA coverage with a special focus on Africa’s national teams, check out VOA’s Francophone blog.

Argentina, Germany Eke Out Victory

With Messi, Everything Is Possible

Argentine superstar Lionel Messi and prolific German scorer Miroslav Klose rescued their teams with clutch goals in World Cup action Saturday.

Messi scored during injury time to give Argentina a 1-0 win over Iran and qualify the Argentines for the coveted Round of 16.  Klose found the back of the net in the 71st minute for the final goal in a 2-2 draw against Ghana.

In Argentina’s Group F match against Iran at Mineirao Stadium in Belo Horizonte, Los Albicelestes appeared headed for a draw.  But Messi, a four-time world player of the year, superbly curled the ball past diving goalie Alireza Haghighi during the first minute of stoppage time to derail an unheralded Iranian team that fought hard.

“With Messi, everything is possible,” Argentina’s coach Alejandro Sabella said.  “Not even two goalkeepers could have stopped that Lionel shot.”

Argentina Needs to Play Better

Argentina has six points from two wins in the tournament.  But the world’s 5th-ranked team in the FIFA standings will need to improve its sometimes lackluster play when facing more elite opponents in the knockout round.

Argentina beat Bosnia-Herzegovina, 2-1, last week.

“If we analyze both matches, we might say we can play better,” said Messi, who has drawn comparisons to fellow Argentine legend Diego Maradona.  “We know we’re not playing as well as we’re expected to.”

Saturday’s Group G match between Germany and Ghana at Arena Castelao in Fortaleza was thrilling.

Germany took a 1-0 lead early in the second half.  But Ghana answered with two goals to go up, 2-1, by the 63rd minute.  In the 71st minute, Klose tapped the ball in on a perfectly executed corner kick to tie the game and celebrated by doing a flip.

It was the 15th World Cup goal for the veteran German striker, tying him with Brazilian legend Ronaldo for the most goals in World Cup history.  He is also Germany’s all-time leading scorer with 70 goals in 133 games.

“Twenty matches and 15 goals isn’t bad at all,” Klose told German television.  “I don’t know how long it’s been since I did a somersault, but at least it worked out.”

Germany, the world’s 2nd-ranked team, would have secured a spot in the knockout round with a win against Ghana.  But their tie means the United States will advance to the round of 16 if it beats Portugal on Sunday.  Portugal will be eliminated if it loses.

Group G is known as the “group of death” because of the extremely stiff competition.  Last week, the U.S. beat Ghana, 2-1, and Germany crushed a tough Portugal team, 4-0.

Nigeria Ends World Cup Drought

In the last game Saturday, Nigeria kept its hopes alive of reaching the knockout round and won its first World Cup game since 1998 with a 1-0 decision over Bosnia-Herzegovina at Arena Pantanal in Cuiaba.

Nigeria’s Peter Odemwingie scored the only goal of the Group F match in the first half.  Bosnia striker Edin Dzeko had a goal disallowed due to a questionable offside call in the first half.  His strike in the final seconds of the match hit the goal post.

“We were aware of the 16-year gap with no wins for our country,” Odemwingie said.  “This is very exciting for us and very important, too, as the fans were disappointed by our previous performance” ((a scoreless draw against Iran)).

Bosnia, which was making its first World Cup appearance, was eliminated from the tournament.

In addition to the U.S.-Portugal match in Manaus, there are two Group H games on Sunday.  Belgium faces Russia in Rio de Janeiro, and South Korea and Algeria clash in Porto Alegre.  Belgium leads Group H with three points.

Argentina vs. Iran: A Miracle in the Making? (UPDATE: No Miracle For Iran)


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Messi fans arrive at Copacabana Beach in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.

UPDATE: Iran failed to get the miracle they desperately needed, losing to Argentina 1-0. With this win, Argentina is guaranteed a spot in the Round of 16; Iran could join them, but it would be difficult.

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When asked about his team’s chances against two-time World Cup champions Argentina, Iran’s coach Carlos Queiroz put it bluntly: “It will require a miracle since Argentina is one of the best teams in the world and also they have one day of rest more than we do.”

Will Iran get their miracle? Or will Argentina fulfill its role as top team in Group F? Find out at 12 PM ET (4 PM UTC) when the teams face off in Belo Horizonte.

For play-by-play, minute-by-minute coverage of every ball touch, throw-in, direct kick, indirect kick, yellow card, red card, corner kick, goal kick and every other possible football feat in every World Cup match, tap into VOA’s multilingual, multinational analysis.

Click here to follow the action live, or follow along on Facebook, or on Twitter with #WorldCupVOA.

And for even more exclusive VOA coverage with a special focus on Africa’s national teams, check out VOA’s Francophone blog.

Iran (0-0) Nigeria

Iran vs. Nigeria: Will One of Their Streaks End? (UPDATE: Nope!)

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Iran

UPDATE: And it’s a tie! Not only is this the first tie match of the 2014 World Cup, but it means Nigeria and Iran’s winless streaks at the World Cup continue.

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In our post on the Germany/Portugal match, we said that World Cup matches don’t get much more competitive (Edit: Germany ended up routing Portugal 4-0; hopefully Iran vs. Nigeria will be a more exciting match).

Well, how’s this for competitive: Iran and Nigeria are separated by just ONE POINT in the FIFA World Rankings (Iran is 43rd in the world with 641 points; Nigeria is 44th with 640). But Nigeria and Iran aren’t only playing win the match – they’re playing to break some unlucky streaks: Nigeria hasn’t won in its last eight World Cup matches, while Iran hasn’t won a World Cup match since 1998. With two teams this close, with so much on the line, there’s no doubt that this match should make for some must-watch football when they meet at 3 PM ET (7 PM UDT).

For play-by-play, minute-by-minute coverage of every ball touch, throw-in, direct kick, indirect kick, yellow card, red card, corner kick, goal kick and every other possible football feat in every World Cup match, tap into VOA’s multilingual, multinational analysis.

Click here to follow the action live, or follow along on Facebook, or on Twitter with #WorldCupVOA.

And for even more exclusive VOA coverage with a special focus on Africa’s national teams, check out VOA’s Francophone blog.